城乡融合的藩篱:移民与犯罪率——基于218个地级市数据的经验研究

Barriers of Urban Rural Integration:migration and crime rate——Empirical research based on data of 218 prefecture level cities

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归属学者：

李树

归属院系：

经济学院（数字经济学院）

作者：

李树1 ;严茉

摘要：

我国自改革开放以来,经济建设取得了巨大的成就,这与大规模的劳动力迁移是分不开的。但是伴随着移民数量的不断攀升,我国的犯罪率也进入了快车道。本文通过汇总2015年中国218个地级市检察院的数据,以检察院公布的批准逮捕率和提起公诉率度量犯罪率,研究发现:(1)移民数量每增加1%犯罪率会增加约1.86%,在采用工具变量克服内生性后研究依然稳健。(2)通过将移民拆分为跨省移民和省际内移民后,对比发现犯罪率增加主要是由跨省移民引起的。(3)导致移民参与犯罪的可能性显著增加的主要原因在于,首先,移民难以获取依附于户籍制度背后的社会福利;其次,由于制度障碍导致的移民游离于迁入地社会保障体系之外;最后,劳动力市场存在着对非户籍人士的歧视。本文增进了对移民与犯罪之间关系的理论和经验认识,为我国的户籍制度改革和完善社会保障制度提供了有益启示。

出版日期：

2021-03-31

学科：

政治学; 法学

提交日期：

2021-12-16

引用参考：

李树;严茉. 城乡融合的藩篱:移民与犯罪率——基于218个地级市数据的经验研究[J]. 制度经济学研究,2021(01):85-105.

全文附件授权许可：

知识共享许可协议-署名

  • dc.title
  • 城乡融合的藩篱:移民与犯罪率——基于218个地级市数据的经验研究
  • dc.contributor.author
  • 李树;严茉
  • dc.contributor.author
  • LI Shu;YAN Mo;School of Economics, Southwest University of Political Science and Law
  • dc.contributor.affiliation
  • 西南政法大学
  • dc.publisher
  • 制度经济学研究
  • dc.publisher
  • Research of Institutional Economics
  • dc.identifier.year
  • 2021
  • dc.identifier.issue
  • 01
  • dc.identifier.page
  • 85-105
  • dc.date.issued
  • 2021-03-31
  • dc.subject
  • 移民;犯罪率;户籍管制;社会保障制度
  • dc.subject
  • Migration;Crime Rate;Registered Residence Control;Social Security System
  • dc.description.abstract
  • 我国自改革开放以来,经济建设取得了巨大的成就,这与大规模的劳动力迁移是分不开的。但是伴随着移民数量的不断攀升,我国的犯罪率也进入了快车道。本文通过汇总2015年中国218个地级市检察院的数据,以检察院公布的批准逮捕率和提起公诉率度量犯罪率,研究发现:(1)移民数量每增加1%犯罪率会增加约1.86%,在采用工具变量克服内生性后研究依然稳健。(2)通过将移民拆分为跨省移民和省际内移民后,对比发现犯罪率增加主要是由跨省移民引起的。(3)导致移民参与犯罪的可能性显著增加的主要原因在于,首先,移民难以获取依附于户籍制度背后的社会福利;其次,由于制度障碍导致的移民游离于迁入地社会保障体系之外;最后,劳动力市场存在着对非户籍人士的歧视。本文增进了对移民与犯罪之间关系的理论和经验认识,为我国的户籍制度改革和完善社会保障制度提供了有益启示。
  • dc.description.abstract
  • Since China's reform and opening up,great achievements have been made in economic construction,which is inseparable from large-scale labor migration.But with the increasing number of immigrants,China's crime rate has also entered the fast lane.This paper summarizes the data of 218 prefecture level city procuratorates in China in 2015,and measures the crime rate by the approved arrest rate and the prosecution rate published by the procuratorates.It is found that:(1) for every 1% increase in the number of immigrants,the crime rate will increase by about 1.86%,and the research is still stable after using instrumental variables to overcome endogeneity.(2) After dividing the immigrants into inter provincial and inter provincial immigrants,it is found that the increase of crime rate is mainly caused by inter provincial immigrants.(3) The main reasons for the significant increase in the possibility of immigrants' participation in crime are:firstly,it is difficult for immigrants to obtain the social welfare attached to the household registration system;secondly,due to institutional barriers,migrants are separated from the social security system in the place of immigration;thirdly,there is discrimination against non household registration people in the labor market. This paper improves the theoretical and empirical understanding of the relationship between immigration and crime,and provides useful enlightenment for the reform of household registration system and the improvement of social security system.
  • dc.subject.discipline
  • D631.42;D924.3
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